Use an explicit probability rather than an ambiguous term

Obtaining more information, frequently from other people, is one way to make decisions of higher quality. It’s more difficult to identify disagreement when you use these ambiguous terms with other people (and disagreement can help you get relevant information).

If your friend believes something has a 70% chance of happening while you only give it a 30% chance. If you say you believe it has a 30% chance of occurring, your disagreement is made clear right away.

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