Why AI Will Spark Exponential Economic Growth
Investor Cathie Wood delves into the role of AI and other pivotal innovations in reshaping economic paradigms.
She predicts an unprecedented surge in global GDP growth and productivity, emphasizing the need for businesses and investors to adapt swiftly.
Convergence of Key Innovation Platforms
The current technology landscape is marked by the simultaneous evolution of five key innovation platforms – robotics, energy storage, AI, blockchain technology, and multiomic sequencing.
This convergence is accelerating growth dynamics in a way that hasn’t been seen since the early 1900s.
We really do believe that real GDP growth around the world is going to accelerate from that two to three percent range into the six to nine percent range, and a lot of that will be productivity-driven. – Cathie Wood
Exponential Growth in AI
AI training costs are dropping at a rate of 70% per year, indicating a shift from linear to exponential growth.
This rapid development is reminiscent of Moore’s law but unfolding at an even faster pace.
AI training costs are dropping 70 percent per year. What used to happen with Moore’s law in two years is now happening in six months. – Cathie Wood
Potential of Autonomous Taxi Platforms
Autonomous taxi platforms represent a significant growth opportunity resulting from the convergence of robotics (autonomous vehicles), energy storage (electric vehicles), and artificial intelligence (AI-powered vehicles).
This sector could scale to an eight to ten trillion dollar revenue opportunity within the next decade.
Acceleration in Global GDP Growth
Increased productivity driven by AI and converging innovation platforms will accelerate global GDP growth.
The potential for approximately a billion knowledge workers worldwide to become four times more productive could lead to rapid gains in growth and lower inflation rates than expected.
Onset of Deflationary Period
Despite current inflation fears, we’re heading towards a highly deflationary period due to technological advancements enhancing margins and solving problems.
Real GDP growth driven by productivity will likely be disinflationary or even deflationary.
Scaling Up Disruptive Innovation
Disruptive or transformative innovation, currently valued at roughly $13 trillion in global equity markets, is predicted to scale up to over $200 trillion due to the convergence of these technology platforms and their associated growth opportunities.
Concept of Creative Destruction
The concept of creative destruction – where old industries are replaced by new ones due to innovation – will play a key role in the future.
Autonomous taxi platforms will transform transportation and mobility, while AI, multiomic sequencing, and CRISPR gene editing will revolutionize healthcare.
Furthermore, blockchain technology and AI are set to overhaul the financial services sector.